AI Scenarios 2030: Helping policymakers plan for the future of AI
A set of five scenarios published by the UK government. The scenarios vary on six dimensions: capability, access, security, adoption, labour displacement and global cooperation. The scenarios are slow burn, open frontier, augmented growth, transformation economy, and take-off.
SourceUK Govt Office for Science
GroupAI capabilities and scenarios
Sub-groupMainstream scenarios
Publication date2026-06-15